Could the Norway model work for Britain? Twelve points to help you decide
While considering the EU Withdrawal Bill, the Lords passed an amendment to require the Commons to vote on remaining in the European Economic Area, bringing the possibility of a âNorway modelâ for the UK back on the agenda. John Erik Fossum and Hans Petter Graver explain how this works and how it has affected Norwayâs relationship with the EU.
While Norway has rejected membership of the European Union twice in referendums in 1972 and 1994, it has consistently sought as close a relationship with it as is possible for a non-member. The core element of that relationship is the European Economic Area (EEA) agreement, which came into effect in Ja nuary 1994, and which seamlessly ties Norway to the EUâs internal market without it being part of the supranational political union.
But Norwayâs experience shows how non-members must make difficult trade-offs between relative autonomy in decision- and rule-making and access to the EUâs internal market and other EU policies. Norway is frequently portrayed as a ârule-takerâ and there is no doubt that its inability to directly affect EU decision-making is â" democratically speaking â" very problematic.
Yet a closer look at Norwayâs experience reveals that, in spite of this, members of the EEA can still shape their socio-economic model and mode of functioning. In other words, how a country handles its relationship with the EU matters. Norway has retained a well-functioning welfare state and high levels of trust in public institutions, helping to offset potential negative influences.
This trust is crucial. Norwayâs experience underlines that the issu e is not simply one of mode of EU affiliation but the important left/right issue of choice of socio-economic model, which has significant bearings on the question of social justice.
In the following, we present in more detail some of the features of the so-called Norway model, and in doing so seek to debunk some of the myths surrounding it.
1. The âNorway modelâ is to some extent a misnomer since a core aspect of what is commonly referred to as the Norway model is, in fact, the European Free Trade Association (EFTA)-based EEA agreement which was signed by Iceland, Lichtenstein and Norway. All decisions here are based on unanimity.
2. The scope of affiliation for the three EFTA members of the EEA is not identical, and the EEA does not cover the entire internal market freedoms of the EU. Importantly, Liechtenstein has retained the right to place quantitative restrictions on the number of new residents. In addition, free moveme nt of goods does not include goods from third countries since the EEA Agreement is not a customs union. This shows that membership in the internal market is not necessarily an âall or nothingâ arrangement.
3. The âNorway modelâ is not only the EEA but is actually made up of 120 different arrangements and covers a far greater realm of issue-areas than just those regulated under the EEA agreement. Norway is an affiliated member of Schengen and asylum and police cooperation (Dublin I, II and III). Norway is therefore situated within the EUâs external border with responsibility for border controls. It has also signed agreements on foreign and security policy and participates in the EUâs battle groups.
4. The Norway model may not be so much more constraining than the Swiss model as the formal difference in these modes of affiliation suggests. The point is that the Swiss unilaterally adapt their legislation to be EU-compatible. T he EU is unhappy with the Swiss arrangements, and they will likely not be extended elsewhere.
5. The sheer range of affiliations under the Norway Model testifies to some flexibility and ingenuity, but there are limits, especially within the EEA agreement, which is about common rules and equal conditions for competition. There is political will on both the EU side and the Norwegian side to maintain close relations, and that allows for a certain measure of flexibility.
6. The EFTA states retained their freedom to decide their own trade policies towards third countries because they are not part of the EUâs customs union. In 2016, Norway had negotiated with the EFTA countries 27 free trade agreements, and negotiations with ten countries (including China) and regional trade blocks (MERCOSUR).
7. Norwayâs experience suggests that it is far better to have a deal than not to have one. Theresa May has said on Brexit that no deal is better than a bad deal. The Norway Model, with all its challenges, has shown to Norwegians that having common rules and equal conditions of competition, and the equivalent means of enforcement, offers the certainty that is necessary for an open economy to function in todayâs tightly interwoven Europe.
8. The Norway Model is not much contested. In fact, there has always been a clear majority in Norway in support for the model it has adopted: there is both little support for EU membership, and very little support for abolishing the EEA. There is a very strong sense across most economic sectors that assured EU access is vital for prosperity. 65% of Norwayâs exports (excluding oil, gas and ships) go to the EU.
9. The importance of open borders. The 1630 km long Norway-Sweden border has been open for 200 years. When Sweden entered the EU, Norway could only keep it open through becoming affiliated with Schengen, which mea nt that Norway would be inside the EUâs external border with responsibility for border controls. Had Norway opted to stay outside of Schengen doing so would have undermined the Nordic Passport Union and free movement in the Nordic region. In the UK context, the political importance of maintaining open the Irish border is readily apparent. In both the UK and Norway, there are political as well as economic reasons for keeping open borders.
10. Norway is a rule-taker and the âNorway modelâ is democratically problematic. It reflects the problems of balancing state sovereignty, national democracy and assured EU access, and privileges the last dimension of access. The Norway model reflects the complex nature of the EU, which combines a supranational core (the internal market) and a set of intergovernmental arrangements for handling matters of border controls and security. There is more scope for bargaining in the intergovernmental realm, which the UK has expe rienced through its numerous opt-outs and opt-ins. The implication is that the EU is more likely to accept bespoke arrangements in the intergovernmental than in the supranational institutional realm (the internal market and customs union).
11. Norwayâs experience shows that it is important to consider the stateâs ability to handle its EU relationship. The Norwegian state is a well-functioning state with a high level of competence and a broad range of comprehensive welfare arrangements and measures to promote gender equality. These features enable it to compensate actors for many of the negative effects of Europeanisation.
12. Norwegians will not automatically get the same arrangements with Britain that members of the EU will. Norway is not part of the Brexit negotiations and for many issues Norway will have to sort out its relations with the UK on its own, for example, on the rights of Norwegian citizens in the UK and UK citizens i n Norway. In this case, the UK government has assured Norway that citizens will receive the same treatment. Nevertheless, Norway is a decision-taker on the sidelines during the negotiations on the UKâs future relationship with the EU and is concerned with when its arrangements with the UK will be settled.
Note: the above draws on the authorsâ book on the subject, âSquaring the circle on Brexit: Could the Norway model work?â, published in 2018 by Policy Press.
About the Authors
John Erik Fossum is Professor in the Faculty of Social Sciences at the University of Oslo.
Hans Petter Graver is Professor in the Department of Law at the University of Oslo.
All articles posted on this blog give the views of the au thor(s), and not the position of LSE British Politics and Policy, nor of the London School of Economics and Political Science.Source: Google News Norway | Netizen 24 Norway